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Fed pauses interest rates, but Bitcoin options data still points to BTC price downside

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Fed Chair Jerome Powell announced a pause in interest rates, but Bitcoin options data still warns that a BTC price drop to $25,000 is possible. Bitcoin's price has been pinned below $26,300 since June 10, reflecting a 14.8% correction in two months. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq tech stock market index gained 13.6% in the same period, indicating that investors are not exactly fleeing to the safety of cash and short-term debt. In fact, the demand for United States government bonds has been declining for the past six weeks. U.S. 2-year government bond yield. Source: TradingView The yield on two-year U.S. Treasurys, for example, increased from 3.80% on May 4 to 4.68% on June 14. Lower demand for debt instruments increases payouts, resulting in a higher yield. If the investor thinks that inflation will continue above target, the tendency is for those participants to demand a higher yield when trading bonds. The U.S. Treasury is set to issue more than $850 billion in new bills between June and...

Bitcoin price rejects CPI boost as market Fed rate pause odds near 95%

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Bitcoin falls back in line almost immediately after closing the weekend's CME futures gap near $26,500. Bitcoin (BTC) fell back in line at the June 12 Wall Street open after a brief macroeconomic data jolt failed to shift the status quo. BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart on Bitstamp. Source: TradingView Markets expect first Fed pause since 2021 Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD continuing to circle $26,000, avoiding major volatility. The largest cryptocurrency saw a brief spike toward $26,500 on the back of the latest United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, which came in below expectations. While ostensibly a boon to risk assets, crypto market s remained cautious on the day, with comments from the Federal Reserve and further macro prints due in the coming days. Equities: Full Bull. Crypto: Can't even muster a small pop for us to get short. What a shame lol — Crypto Chase (@Crypto_Chase) June 13, 2023 Bets on the Fed pausing its rate hike c...